The famous Apple analyst, Ming-Chi Kuo, released a new report today suggesting that future 2021 iPhone models are likely to outsell the iPhone 12.
Kuo suggests this is due in large part to the “significant” enhancements to the ultra-wide camera in next year’s models …
Three ultra-wide camera enhancements
Supply chain sources suggest that Apple plans three upgrades to the ultra-wide camera on Pro models next year during the coming year.
First the aperture is expected to widen from f / 2.4 to f / 1.8. All things being equal, that would let in more than twice the light, significantly improving low-light performance. In particular, it should allow for sharper and cleaner night shots.
Second, sources indicate that the number of lens elements will increase from five to six. There are pros and cons of adding elements to a lens, but when a manufacturer takes an existing lens design and adds elements, this is usually done to reduce distortion, which is especially important in wide angle lenses.
Finally, expect the ultra-wide lens to get autofocus for the first time. The current ultra-wide lens is fixed focus. This may sound surprising, but it’s generally not a big deal in wide-angle lenses, as they’re mostly used for landscapes and cityscapes, where everything in the shot is far enough away to be in focus. However, switching to autofocus will come in handy for closer wide-angle shots.
Other benefits for iPhone 2021 models
Furthermore, Kuo believes there are two more reasons to be more optimistic about next year’s sales.
An end we all hope for is the coronavirus crisis, which would mean fewer production challenges. Apple Chief Executive Tim Cook said supply constraints are limiting sales of several Apple baseline products. A more recent report has suggested that the production of the iPhone 12 Pro is affected by a shortage of power management chips.
Finally, Kuo believes that the demand for iPhones with 5G technology will be higher next year, once there is more infrastructure. Right now, 5G coverage is too patchy, so the inclusion of faster mobile standards, in the eyes of many users, does not provide a compelling reason to upgrade.